POPULATION GROWTH
Population growth and processes of population change
Population is a dynamic phenomenon. The numbers, distribution and composition of the population are constantly changing. This is the influence of the interaction of the three processes, namely — births, deaths and migrations.
Growth of population refers to the change in the number of inhabitants of a country/territory during a specific period of time, say during the last 10 years. Such a change can be expressed in two ways: in terms of absolute numbers and in terms of percentage change per year.
The absolute numbers added each year or decade is the magnitude of increase. It is obtained by simply subtracting the earlier population (e.g. that of 2001) from the later population (e.g. that of 2011). It is referred to as the absolute increase.
The rate or the pace of population increase is the other important aspect. It is studied in percent per annum, e.g. a rate of increase of 2 percent per annum means that in a given year, there was an increase of two persons for every 100 persons in the base population. This is referred to as the annual growth rate.
India’s population has been steadily increasing from 361 million in 1951 to 1210 million in 2011.
Table 6.1: The Magnitude and Rate of India’s Population Growth
Table 6.1 and Figures 6.4 (a) and 6.4 (b) reveal that from 1951 to 1981, the annual rate of population growth was steadily increasing; which explains the rapid increase in population from 361 million in 1951 to 683 million in 1981.
Figure 6.4(b): India’s Population Growth Rates during 1951-2011
Figure 6.4(b): India’s Population 1901-2011
Since 1981, however, the rate of growth started declining gradually. During this period, birth rates declined rapidly. Still, 182 million people were added to the total population in the 1990s alone (an annual addition larger than ever before).
It is essential to realise that India has a very large population. When a low annual rate is applied to a very large population, it yields a large absolute increase. When more than a billion people increase even at a lower rate, the total number being added becomes very large. India’s annual increase in population is large enough to neutralise efforts to conserve the resource endowment and environment.
The declining trend of the growth rate is indeed a positive indicator of the efforts of birth control. Despite that, the total additions to the population base continue to grow, and India may overtake China in 2045 to become the most populous country in the world.
Let's find out
Table 6.1 reveals that despite the decline in growth rates, the number of people being added every decade is steadily increasing. Why?
Source: This topic is taken from NCERT TEXTBOOK
PROCESS OF POPULATION CHANGE/GROWTH
There are three main processes of change of population :
i. birth rates,
ii. death rates and
iii. migration.
The natural increase of population is the difference between birth rates and death rates.
Birth rate is the number of live births per thousand persons in a year. It is a major component of growth because in India, birth rates have always been higher than death
rates.
Death rate is the number of deaths per thousand persons in a year. The main cause of the rate of growth of the Indian population has been the rapid decline in death rates.
Till 1980, high birth rates and declining death rates led to a large difference between birth rates and death rates resulting in higher rates of population growth. Since 1981, birth rates have also started declining gradually, resulting in a gradual decline in the rate of population growth. What are the reasons for this trend?
The third component of population growth is migration. Migration is the movement of people across regions and territories. Migration can be internal (within the country) or international (between the countries).
Internal migration does not change the size of the population but influences the distribution of population within the nation. Migration plays a very significant role in changing the composition and distribution of the population.
In India, most migrations have been from rural to urban areas because of the “push” factor in rural areas. These are adverse conditions of poverty and unemployment in the rural areas and the “pull” of the city in terms of increased employment opportunities and better living conditions.
Migration is an important determinant of population change. It changes not only the population size but also the population composition of urban and rural populations in terms of age and sex composition. In India, the rural-urban migration has resulted in a steady increase in the percentage of the population in cities and towns. The urban population has increased from 17.29 percent of the total population in 1951 to 31.80 percent in 2011. There has been a significant increase in the number of ‘million-plus cities’ from 35 to 53 in just one decade, i.e., 2001 to 2011.
Let's find out
Table 6.1 reveals that despite the decline in growth rates, the number of people being added every decade is steadily increasing. Why?
Source: This topic is taken from NCERT TEXTBOOK
AGE COMPOSITION AND SEX RATIO
The age composition of a population refers to the number of people in different age groups in a country. It is one of the most basic characteristics of a population. To an important degree, a person’s age influences what he/she needs buys does and his/her capacity to perform. Consequently, the number and percentage of a population found within the children, working-age and aged groups are notable determinants of the population’s social and economic structure.
The population of a nation is, generally, grouped into three broad categories:
Children (generally below 15 years)
They are economically unproductive and need to be provided with food, clothing, education and medical care.
Working Age (15–59 years)
They are economically productive and biologically reproductive. They comprise the working population.
Aged (Above 59 years)
They can be economically productive though they may have retired. They may be working voluntarily but they are not available for employment through recruitment.
The percentage of children and the aged affect the dependency ratio because these groups are not producers. The proportion of the three groups in India’s population is already presented in Figure 6.5.
Figure 6.5: India: Age Composition
Sex Ratio
Sex ratio is defined as the number of females per 1000 males in the population. This information is an important social indicator to measure the extent of equality between males and females in a society at a given time. The sex ratio in the country has always remained unfavourable to females. Find out why this is so? Table 6.2 shows the sex ratio from 1951–2011.
Table 6.2: India : Sex Ratio 1951-2011
More to know
Kerala has a sex ratio of 1084 females per 1000 males, Puducherry has 1038 females for every 1000 males, while Delhi has only 866 females per 1000 males and Haryana has just 877.
Let’s do it
1. How many children do you know who are engaged as household helpers or labourers in your locality?
2. How many adults do you know in your locality who are unemployed?
3. What do you feel are the reasons for this?
4. What could be the reasons for such variations?
Source: This topic is taken from NCERT TEXTBOOK
LITERACY RATES AND OCCUPATIONAL STRUCTURE
Literacy Rates
Literacy is a very important quality of a population. Obviously, only an informed and educated citizen can make intelligent choices and undertake research and development projects. Low levels of literacy are a serious obstacle for economic improvement.
According to the Census 2011, a person aged 7 years and above, who can read and write with understanding in any language, is treated as literate.
There has been a steady improvement in the literacy levels in India. The literacy rate in the country as per the Census of 2011 is 73 percent; 80.9 percent for males and 64.6 percent for females. Why do such differences exist?
Occupational Structure
The percentage of the population that is economically active is an important index of development. The distribution of the population according to different types of occupation is referred to as the occupational structure. An enormous variety of occupations are found in any country. Occupations are, generally, classified as primary, secondary, and tertiary.
Primary activities include agriculture, animal husbandry, forestry, fishing, mining, and quarrying, etc. Secondary activities include the manufacturing industry, building and construction work, etc. Tertiary activities include transport, communications, commerce, administration, and other services.
The proportion of people working in different activities varies in developed and developing countries. Developed nations have a high proportion of people in secondary, and tertiary activities. Developing countries tend to have a higher proportion of their workforce engaged in primary activities. In India, about 64 percent of the population is engaged only in agriculture. The proportion of the population dependent on secondary and tertiary sectors is about 13 and 20 percent respectively. There has been an occupational shift in favour of secondary and tertiary sectors because of growing industrialisation and urbanisation in recent times.
Source: This topic is taken from NCERT TEXTBOOK
HEALTH
Health is an important component of population composition, which affects the process of development. Sustained efforts of government programmes have registered significant improvements in the health conditions of the Indian population. Death rates have declined from 25 per 1000 population in 1951 to 7.2 per 1000 in 2011 and life expectancy at birth has increased from 36.7 years in 1951 to 67.9 years in 2012.
The substantial improvement is the result of many factors including improvement in public health, prevention of infectious diseases and application of modern medical practices in diagnosis and treatment of ailments.
Despite considerable achievements, the health situation is a matter of major concern for India. The per capita calorie consumption is much below the recommended levels and malnutrition afflicts a large percentage of our population. Safe drinking water and basic sanitation amenities are available to only one-third of the rural population. These problems need to be tackled through an appropriate population policy.
Source: This topic is taken from NCERT TEXTBOOK
ADOLESCENT POPULATION AND NATIONAL POPULATION POLICY
Adolescent Population
The most significant feature of the Indian population is the size of its adolescent population. It constitutes one-fifth of the total population of India. Adolescents are, generally, grouped in the age group of 10 to 19 years. They are the most important resource for the future. Nutrition requirements of adolescents are higher than those of a normal child or adult. Poor nutrition can lead to deficiency and stunted growth. But in India, the diet available to adolescents is inadequate in all nutrients. A large number of adolescent girls suffer from anaemia. Their problems have so far not received adequate attention in the process of development. Adolescent girls have to be sensitised to the problems they confront. Awareness among them can be improved through the spread of literacy and education.
National Population Policy
Recognising that the planning of families would improve individual health and welfare, the Government of India initiated a comprehensive Family Planning Programme in 1952. The Family Welfare Programme has sought to promote responsible and planned parenthood on a voluntary basis. The National Population Policy (NDP) 2000 is a culmination of years of planned efforts.
The NPP 2000 provides a policy framework for imparting free and compulsory school education up to 14 years of age, reducing infant mortality rate to below 30 per 1000 live births, achieving universal immunisation of children against all vaccine-preventable diseases, promoting delayed marriage for girls, and making family welfare a people-centered programme.
NPP 2000 identified adolescents as one of the major sections of the population that need greater attention. Besides nutritional requirements, the policy puts greater emphasis on other important needs of adolescents including protection from unwanted pregnancies and sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). It called for programmes that aim towards encouraging delayed marriage and child-bearing, education of adolescents about the risks of unprotected sex, making contraceptive services accessible and affordable, providing food supplements, nutritional services, and strengthening legal measures to prevent child marriage.
People are the nation’s most valuable resource. A well-educated healthy population provides potential power.
Source: This topic is taken from NCERT TEXTBOOK